Tuesday, November 9, 2010

IS THIS THE EARLY SIGNS OF A TURNAROUND?

IS THIS THE EARLY SIGNS OF A TURNAROUND?
Just when it appeared some investors were returning to the market, the Reserve Bank decided to raise interest rates today.
The last 3 properties we manage for rent which we have listed for sales have been sold to investors.
Each property had rental returns showing around 5% gross return but could not have been more different.
One was a 3 bed home, renovated about 12 months ago in the slowest selling suburb in the Rockingham area, another was a 2 bed old fashioned unloved duplex with common walls in what is traditionally our second most popular and upmarket seaside suburb, while the third was a 4 bed 1 bath in the lowest land value suburb locally.
The only negative is each of these homes sold for less than $300,000, confirming yet again Rockingham’s position as the lowest priced area in Australia within an hour’s drive of a capital city.
Ross Cutten
Owner/Director
Noble Real Estate


Thursday, October 14, 2010

THE TRUTH ABOUT AUCTIONS

THE TRUTH ABOUT AUCTIONS

Is your agent suggesting you should auction your property?
Here are some facts about auctions in Western Australia.

According to RP Data 5817 properties were listed for sale in W.A. in July.
The average auction period is 4-5 weeks.
The number of properties sold at auction in August was 81 which shows two things;
Auctions represented only 1.4% of all properties listed for sale in July.
Only 31% (or 0.43%) of all properties which were listed sold at auction.
When encouraging sellers to list their property for auction, salespeople often include as successes those properties which sell after auction.
My suggestion is those properties would have sold by private treaty and may well have sold sooner.
Beware of members of Eastern States Franchises pushing auction.
When the W.A. franchise we belonged to took over our group, they claimed West Australians were no different from the rest of Australia and they were determined to turn us into an auction state.
The above figures tell me 17 years later they didn’t know what they were talking about!
At the time I asked “If we are the same as the Eastern States, why do we still build in double brick a century after they started building in brick veneer”?
So, if your sales representative is pushing auction ask “Why?”
If you want to know the real reason they recommend auction or know the secrets of which properties to auction and what the one key factor you need on auction day is, ask Ross Cutten a lapsed licensed auctioneer with 25 years experience selling homes in the Rockingham District on 041 9944 029.

Ross Cutten
Owner/Director
Noble Real Estate

SOME NOTES ON WHERE WE STAND IN W.A.

SOME NOTES ON WHERE WE STAND IN W.A.
AND A GUIDE TO 25 YEARS OF TRAINING AND EXPERIENCE IN PROPERTY INVESTMENT

W.A. has 10.2% of Australia’s population.
In the latest changes to redistribution of the GST….
W.A will receive 63% back from GST collections.
Most of the Eastern states will receive in excess of 90% with the highest being 97%.
The Federal government considers our economy so strong that we can subsidise the rest of the country.
W.A. has the highest growth in population of all Australian states.
W.A. has the highest growth of the working population of all Australian states.
Average weekly earnings is $110 per week or $5720 per annum higher than the Australian average.
Job adverts in W.A. are up 55% for the year (Australian average which includes ours up 14%).
Merchandise exports are up 60% in 12 months and we now account for 44% of Australia’s total in the last figures (remember 10.2% of the population).
Merchandise imports in W.A. are currently 10.8% of the national bill (consistent with 10.2% of the population) down 8% for the month and 8.3% compared to this time last year. However Australia as a whole ( including our reduction) is UP 4 % for the month and UP 12% for the year.
(Sources; ABS and CCI Perth)

If I was a property owner at the moment I would probably not go against the tide of real estate sales of course only if you have the option to wait.
These are the reasons why.
As far as where we are at the moment in the market;
The market peaked between June 2006 and June 2007 and prices fell after that, dramatically when the GFC hit in 2008.
We were beginning to recover at the start of this year when a series of interest rate rises dampened the market.
I believe those rises were now too many and too soon.
That has been followed by…
The mining tax debacle which made people fear for their jobs.
A marked tightening of lending by the banks.
The sacking of the Prime Minister.

The calling of an election which has always switched the market of simply due to uncertainty.
My advice to owners has always been…
Buy when everybody else is selling (now).
Sell when everybody else is buying. (June 06 to June 07)
If you get out of step, wait.
I realize that not everybody has that option so…..
if you do now is not the time to go against the market.
If not then you have to meet the market by listing within 3-4% of the expected selling price.
I will not get into forecasting as none of the above list of the negatives was forecast by anyone to my knowledge.
However I can tell you that we are currently living in a State where
(a) according to Perth Chamber of Commerce, $200 billion of development is in the pipeline if only the government of the day gets out of the way.
(b) W.A. is now accounting for 40-44% of export revenue from Australia.
(c) Rockingham area is growing at a much faster rate than most of Australia or even W.A.
(d) When the GFC hit we turned back into the most affordable seaside property in Australia within easy commute of a capital city.
(e) Plans have been approved for a marina/shopping jetty similar to Hilaries Boat harbor.
(f) The cost of developing and buiding land continues to grow.
(g) There has been a shortfall in construction of new homes Australia wide for years.

Ross Cutten
Owner/Director
Noble Real Estate